Tuesday, June 25, 2013

MOCK What You Don't Understand v3.0

There will probably be a 3.1 on Draft Day Afternoon, but for now, here's another pass at it while reading all the tea leaves that are out there.

Sometimes you have to try to be clairvoyant: how much of the inside info is out there because a team wants it out there to move the market?  You game out who might want to inflate or deflate a prospect's value and marry that with a read of each team's needs.

So without further ado, here we go...

1. Cleveland: Alex Len, C, Maryland

ESPN's Chad Ford is adamant this will still be Nerlens Noel, but everyone else seems to be saying Len right now.  I'll be a lemming and go with the crowd.

2.  Orlando: Nerlens Noel, C, Kentucky

There is a consensus out there that if the Cavs don't take Noel, the Magic will.  This will create an interesting situation with Nikola Vucevic.  Will Noel be a PF like his Kentucky predecessor, Anthony Davis, is in New Orleans?  Or is Vucevic now a trade chip?  We wait and see. Personally, I'd take Oladipo here.  But no one seems to think that's happening if Noel is there.

3.  Washington: Otto Porter, SF, Georgetown

This doesn't seem to change because it makes too much sense.  Porter is a solid prospect and a local product at a position of need.  SheridanHoops is convinced that the Wizards are going with Bennett here.  It's not ridiculous... but I'm not sold yet.  Let's monitor this one.

4.  Charlotte: Ben McLemore, SG, Kansas

Truth is, I really like Victor Oladipo more, but there's no denying McLemore's skill set and athletic package.  And the Bobcats/Hornets probably need a more prolific scorer between Kemba Walker and Michael Kidd-Gilchrist.

5.  Phoenix:  Victor Oladipo, SG, Indiana

A nice program-builder for the Suns and a nicer complement to this blog's namesake in the backcourt.

6.  New Orleans:  Trey Burke, PG, Michigan

Some reports say the Pelicans have given up on Austin Rivers.  Some reports say they see him as a shooting guard.  Some say they still believe in him as a point guard.  Myself, I think it's too early to write him off as a player, but I think he's probably a long term combo guard off the bench.  I never saw a top point guard there.  There seems to be a consensus building around C.J. McCollum as the top PG in the draft, although I am always wary of the 6'3" scoring lead guard. (See: Austin Rivers...)  So I'm sticking with Trey Burke here.  He's too complete a package.  If he were 3 inches taller, someone would trade up to #1 for him.

7.  Sacramento: Anthony Bennett, PF, UNLV

There is just too much Bennett can do for you. He shouldn't be here this late.

8.  Detroit:  Michael Carter-Williams, PG, Syracuse

Lots of people see McCollum here.  I just don't see him working with Brandon Knight in a backcourt of two 6'3" guards.  MCW has rare size, a pure PG approach, and you can work on a jump shot.  This just works.

9.  Minnesota: Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, SG, Georgia

He seems to be moving up draft boards, and he's the best available player at Minnesota's greatest position of need.

10.  Portland:  Steven Adams, C, Pitt

The Kiwi has a lot going for him.  His offense is a work in progress, but he has the body, the motor, and should be able to defend and rebound from Day One.  With the jury still out on Meyers Leonard, this is too much value to pass up.

11.  Philadelphia:  Cody Zeller, PF/C, Indiana

Zeller probably belongs higher, but there isn't quite the fit in the top ten. You can play him at center in small lineups, power forward in big lineups. An impressive combination of size, athleticism, and skill  His similarity to LaMarcus Aldridge is the only reason Portland doesn't take him at #10.

12.  Oklahoma City:  C.J. McCollum, PG/SG, Lehigh

I've had McCollum going here all along.  He's a perfect fit: bench scoring, and you can play him with Russell Westbrook, or backing him up.

13.  Dallas:  Shane Larkin, PG, Miami

We're into the crapshoot stage of the draft.  Dallas needs everything as they rebuild. Larkin, while small, tested well athletically, is a pure point guard, and can score, too.

14.  Utah:  Dennis Schroeder, PG, Germany

Some conflicting reports on Schroeder's stock, but PG is Utah's biggest "need" position. I think they pull the trigger.

15.  Milwaukee:  Sergey Karasev, SF, Russia

Perhaps the best shooter in the draft, and the Bucks badly need shooting - and a small forward.

16.  Boston:  Mason Plumlee, PF/C, Duke

With Doc Rivers gone, they are officially rebuilding.  They're looking to move Garnett and Pierce. They may or may not keep Rondo.  They'll likely just take the best player available, and in my opinion that's Plumlee.  I'm bullish on his NBA outlook.  "Plus" size and athleticism - I think he's a good starting PF in the league.

17.  Atlanta:  Shabazz Muhammad, SG, UCLA

The Hawks are re-tooling, and Muhammad - while most seem to think he lacks star potential at this point - is a fairly safe pick.  This sets up...

18.  Atlanta:  Giannis Adetokuonbo, SF, Greece

The Greek Freak is the consummate boom-or-bust selection.  Possessing rare length and athleticism, and some legitimate point guard skills at 6'9", he's also 18 and currently playing against competition that is one step above a pickup game at the JCC.  He could be Scottie Pippen 5 years from now.  He could also fail to ever make it to the league.

19.  Cleveland:  Glen Rice Jr., SG/SF, D-League

The Cavs would have loved for Karasev to fall here so they could fill the small forward position and stretch the floor for Kyrie Irving.  Rice, like his father, can shoot the 3, and he's more athletic than Dad. He's not much off the bounce, but that's not what the Cavs need anyway.  In one of the draft's oddest stories, the guy who got kicked off Georgia Tech's team and dominated the D-league ends up in a great situation in Cleveland.

20.  Chicago:  Tim Hardaway Jr., SG, Michigan

I had been on Gorgui Dieng here for a long time, but after watching how Indiana and San Antonio attacked Miami, I am coming around to the idea that the Bulls need to stretch the floor to beat the Heat. You're not going to get that second shot-maker here, but you can get someone who can pull a potential double-team away from Rose.  Hardaway can shoot, and his intensity and professionalism that showed up in predraft workouts would seem to be a good fit with Tom Thibodeau's redline-all-the-time culture. And if anyone can find an adequate defender in Hardaway, it's Thibs.  If Hardaway works out, in the wake of Jimmy Butler's emergence, it gives the Bulls the flexibility to move on from Luol Deng at some point and get a little younger around Derrick Rose.

21.  Utah: Kelly Olynyk, C, Gonzaga

This is an excellent value pick here.  Olynyk has a rare skill set for a 7-footer.

22.  Brooklyn:  Jamaal Franklin, SG, San Diego State

With Deron Williams and Joe Johnson more than happy to shoot, a do-everything, stat-sheet-stuffing wing is just what the doctor ordered for the Nets.

23.  Indiana:  Lucas Nogueira, C, Brazil

The Pacers need a point guard.  There isn't one available here.  And they're not likely to get an immediate contributor here.  So they go for upside.  Nogueira is a potential Marcus Camby close:  long, rail thin, athletic, and a natural shot blocker.  He won't be in Indy right away, but he's a potential long term option for Roy Hibbert.

24.  New York:  Isaiah Canaan, PG, Murray State

Ray Felton oscillates between looking like an All-Star and a nonfactor.  The Knicks could use a little insurance here.

25.  L.A. Clippers:  Allen Crabbe, SG, Cal

Shooting guard is probably the Cavs' weakest position (now that they'd removed "Head Coach" from the list).  Chris Paul and Blake Griffin could use a floor-stretcher.

26.  Minnesota:  Reggie Bullock, SF, North Carolina

No real star power here, but Bullock can defend at small forward and shoot the 3.  Caldwell-Pope and Bullock upgrade the T-Wolves on the wings, and they should do so right away.  Both are fairly safe picks, and Minnesota has had too many busts over the years to take a lot of chances now.

27.  Denver:  Nate Wolters, PG/SG, South Dakota State

Wolters is creeping up draft boards, it seems.  Andre Miller has to stop at some point, Ty Lawson needs a backup, and in certain situations you may be able to play Lawson and Wolters together.

28.  San Antonio:  Gorgui Dieng, PF/C, Louisville

Tim Duncan can't play forever, Tiago Splitter is limited, and Dieng can defend, pass out of the high post, and may at some point make the foul-line jumper a reliable weapon.

29.  Oklahoma City:  Alex Abrines, SG, Spain

Realistically, no one the Thunder would take here would ever see the floor in the short term.  Best to take the highest-upside Euro-stash they can find.

30.  Phoenix:  Tony Mitchell, SF/PF, North Texas

OK, so the Suns already have Kansas' Morris twins, but there's no indication yet that either is any good.  Keep taking shots... eventually one will fall.



Thursday, June 6, 2013

MOCK What You Don't Understand - v2.1


In the wake of Dario Saric surprisingly pulling out of the draft despite appearing to be a mid-first rounder and rising, we need to re-work the first round now...


1. Cleveland:  Nerlens Noel, C, Kentucky

Still no reason to think the potential defensive game-changer is not the pick here.

2. Orlando: Anthony Bennett, PF, UNLV

McLemore may have the best upside, but some question his approach to the game.  Trey Burke was a fabulously productive player, but he's a hair under 6' tall.  That's tough to bank on with the #2 pick.  Oladipo is the surest best to contribute at the NBA level, but will his offensive game keep improving?  (I'm a HUGE Oladipo fan and would personally take him this high.)  But in the end, my gut says it's Bennett.  If he were 2 inches taller he would clearly be the top player in this draft. His ability to face up, stretch the floor, or go in the low post is too compelling, and will fit well with the prolific rebounding of Nikola Vucevic.

3. Washington:  Otto Porter, SF, Georgetown

Still too perfect a fit.

4.  Charlotte:  Ben McLemore, SG, Kansas

A gift that he falls to Hornets here.  Slotting him between the improving Kemba Walker and the developing Michael Kidd-Gilchrist is the foundation for getting something going at long last in Charlotte

5.  Phoenix:  Victor Oladipo, SG, Indiana

Still a perfect backcourt complement to Goran Dragic, and a high quality building block for the Suns.

6.  New Orleans:  Alex Len, C, Maryland

Per ESPN's Chad Ford, the Pelicans have not given up hope on Austin Rivers as a point guard, are comfortable with "The General" Greivis Vazquez in the interim, and view Anthony Davis as a PF.  Len might have gone #1 but not for his injury.

7. Sacramento:  Trey Burke, PG, Michigan

There seems to be a consensus out there on this pick right now.  The Kings don't have an answer at the point with Isaiah Thomas or Jimmer Fredette, and Tyreke Evans is probably best suited to a role as a combo guard off the bench.  A Kings team badly in need of some stability would love if a polished floor general like Burke slipped to them.  I would not, however, sleep on Cody Zeller in this spot...

8.  Detroit:  Michael Carter-Williams, PG, Syracuse

Sticking with this one.  MCW is just too nice a fit with the more scoring-minded Brandon Knight in the backcourt.  He also adds top-end athleticism and a pure PG's orientation to a Pistons team badly in need of both.

9.  Minnesota:  Cody Zeller, PF/C, Indiana

With Kevin Love and the now-emerged Nikola Pekovic manning the frontcourt, and a major dearth of skill and athleticism at the 2 and 3, this would seem like a strange pick for Flip Saunders and the T'Wolves.  But Zeller is simply the best player available, opening eyes with his three-point shooting and athleticism in workouts, and I think the more one-on-one style of game in the NBA will suit Zeller's skill set better than the 5-foul, muddled interior of the college game.  Zeller should be able to play either frontcourt position and may ultimately give the T'Wolves the flexibility to move Love or Pekovic for better wing help than this draft can offer them.

10.  Portland:  Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, SG, Georgia

A shooter who seems to be moving up draft boards.  He slots in nicely between Damian Lillard and Nicolas Batum.

11. Philadelphia:  Mason Plumlee, PF/C, Duke

Some mocks have him slipping as far as #20 to Chicago.  As a Bulls fan, I would love to see that happen but I just can't imagine that someone with Plumlee's size, strength, ability to run the floor, and experience will slip that far.  The Sixers need frontcourt help in a big way in the wake of the disastrous Andrew Bynum deal.

12.  Oklahoma City:  C.J. McCollum, PG/SG, Lehigh

Sticking with this one from 1.0.  McCollum is an explosive scoring guard who can both back up Russell Westbrook and play alongside him.  Don't sleep on Steven Adams here, but I think McCollum will be too enticing to pass up.

13.  Dallas: Dennis Schroeder, PG, Germany

Lightning-quick playmaker joins his countryman, Dirk, in Dallas.

14.  Utah:  Shane Larkin, PG, Miami

Larkin has dazzled, athletically, in workouts and at the Chicago combine.  Utah's biggest need is at the point.

15.  Milwaukee:  Sergey Karasev, SG/SF, Russia

A sharpshooter with enough size and athleticism to play either the 2 or 3.  A surprising level of polish and experience for a 19 year-old.

16.  Boston: Shabazz Muhammad, SG/SF, UCLA

After coming into college with a ton of hype, now observers are fixated on the potential weaknesses in his game. But he's a polished scorer who is just too good a value for Boston to pass up here.

17.  Atlanta:  Giannis Adetokuompo, SF, Greece

Perhaps the best upside of any player in the draft. The "Greek Freak" likely will not play in the NBA for 2-3 years, but he has incredible length and athleticism for a small forward and actually plays point guard for his Greek league club.  If you want to take a shot at finding another Scottie Pippen at the same age, this is your chance.

18.  Atlanta:  Jamaal Franklin, SG, San Diego State

He led the Aztecs in PTS, REB, AST, STL, I think even HR and RBI....  a classic do-everything wing who could be a steal if he straightens out his jumper. 

19.  Cleveland:  Steven Adams, C, Pitt

They would have loved Muhammad or Karasev here, but Adams isn't a bad consolation prize.  A good athlete with true center size, and a top-shelf motor and work ethic. His offensive game is a work in progress, but he has a chance to develop into a top defensive center.

20.  Chicago: Gorgui Dieng, PF/C, Louisville

Another one steady since Mock 1.0.  Ready to give the Bulls solid bench minutes right away, and this is what they need.  It would, however, be very interesting if Karasev or Muhammad were to slip.

21.  Utah:  Kelly Olynyk, PF/C, Gonzaga

Olynyk is a wildcard who could go anywhere from the late lottery to the mid-20's.  A big man with an unconventional but impressive skill set, he was an outstanding college player who would be a solid get along with Larkin.

22.  Brooklyn:  Reggie Bullock, SG/SF, North Carolina

A high-floor, low-ceiling pick.  He's mostly just a shooter on offense, but he can guard two positions and should be a nice piece.  The Nets are in a "win-now" mode and need someone who can contribute quickly, even if he's a role player.

23.  Indiana:  Rudy Gobert, C, France

The Pacers suddenly have dreams of contention, and would have probably loved to see  Larkin slip this far so they could upgrade from George Hill at the point, or Karasev so they could add some much-needed perimeter shooting.  But absent someone who could give immediate help, Gobert has size and length you can't teach - a Roy Hibbert in training wheels.  Tim Hardaway Jr. is a possibility here.

24.  New York:  Tony Mitchell, F, North Texas

There seems to be a small consensus building around this pick.  He brings top-end athleticism, defense, and rebounding a very high overall upside.  He's a boom-or-bust pick, but absent anyone who is sure to crack the Knicks' rotation, there is no reason not to swing for the fences here.

25.  L.A. Clippers:  Tim Hardaway Jr., SG, Michigan

The Clips need shooting, and Hardaway has earned high marks for his marksmanship, as well as his intensity and professionalism.  He has ideal size for the 2, but his defense and his game off the bounce are works in progress.  He's unlikely to be a star, but his floor is rising, which makes him a good bet to be a complementary contributor on a competitive team.

26.  Minnesota:  Glen Rice Jr., SG/SF, D-League

He has character issues in his past, but he dominated the D-League last season and brings the kind of athleticism and perimeter shooting the T'Wolves desperately need.

27. Denver: Lucas Nogueira, C, Brazil

Unlikely to find a player who will crack their rotation right away, this is another team that can shoot for upside.  The team that drafted Nene can now try their hand with "Bebe", a rail-thin athletic freak who could be a Marcus Camby type of defensive dominator in time.

28.  San Antonio:  Allen Crabbe, SG, California

Projected by most to go a bit higher, so this is a solid value pick.  Since Manu Ginobili and Matt Bonner can't play forever, new shooting has to come from somewhere.

29.  Oklahoma City:  Mouhammadou Jaiteh, C, France

A young, physically impressive big man who won't be here for a little while yet.  The Thunder can wait. A McCollum/Jaiteh draft for a team that is already a championship contender seems almost unfair.

30. Phoenix:  Tony Snell, SG/SF, New Mexico

A long, catch-and-shoot wing with some upside.

Tuesday, June 4, 2013

MOCK What You Don't Understand v2.0

There are some new tea leaves out there as we see who is thought to be moving up and moving down.

Orlando is clearly the wildcard in the top half of the lottery.  They could still go with Ben McLemore, Trey Burke, Anthony Bennett or Victor Oladipo.  That they do not appear fixated on McLemore could be legit, or it could be that they are not in love with any one option and want to see if someone makes them a solid offer to move down.  If Minnesota were willing to part to the #9 and #26 picks along with Derrick Williams for #2, would Orlando bite?

But that notwithstanding, let's take another run at this...

1. Cleveland:  Nerlens Noel, C, Kentucky

Still no reason to think the potential defensive game-changer is not the pick here.

2. Orlando: Anthony Bennett, PF, UNLV

McLemore may have the best upside, but some question his approach to the game.  Trey Burke was a fabulously productive player, but he's a hair under 6' tall.  That's tough to bank on with the #2 pick.  Oladipo is the surest best to contribute at the NBA level, but will his offensive game keep improving?  (I'm a HUGE Oladipo fan and would personally take him this high.)  But in the end, my gut says it's Bennett.  If he were 2 inches taller he would clearly be the top player in this draft. His ability to face up, stretch the floor, or go in the low post is too compelling, and will fit well with the prolific rebounding of Nikola Vucevic.

3. Washington:  Otto Porter, SF, Georgetown

Still too perfect a fit.

4.  Charlotte:  Ben McLemore, SG, Kansas

A gift that he falls to Hornets here.  Slotting him between the improving Kemba Walker and the developing Michael Kidd-Gilchrist is the foundation for getting something going at long last in Charlotte

5.  Phoenix:  Victor Oladipo, SG, Indiana

Still a perfect backcourt complement to Goran Dragic, and a high quality building block for the Suns.

6.  New Orleans:  Alex Len, C, Maryland

Per ESPN's Chad Ford, the Pelicans have not given up hope on Austin Rivers as a point guard, are comfortable with "The General" Greivis Vazquez in the interim, and view Anthony Davis as a PF.  Len might have gone #1 but not for his injury.

7. Sacramento:  Trey Burke, PG, Michigan

There seems to be a consensus out there on this pick right now.  The Kings don't have an answer at the point with Isaiah Thomas or Jimmer Fredette, and Tyreke Evans is probably best suited to a role as a combo guard off the bench.  A Kings team badly in need of some stability would love if a polished floor general like Burke slipped to them.  I would not, however, sleep on Cody Zeller in this spot...

8.  Detroit:  Michael Carter-Williams, PG, Syracuse

Sticking with this one.  MCW is just too perfect a fit with the more scoring-minded Brandon Knight in the backcourt.  He also adds top-end athleticism and a pure PG's orientation to a Pistons team badly in need of both.

9.  Minnesota:  Cody Zeller, PF/C, Indiana

With Kevin Love and the now-emerged Nikola Pekovic manning the frontcourt, and a major dearth of skill and athleticism at the 2 and 3, this would seem like a strange pick for Flip Saunders and the T'Wolves.  But Zeller is simply the best player available, opening eyes with his three-point shooting and athleticism in workouts, and I think the more one-on-one style of game in the NBA will suit Zeller's skill set better than the 5-foul, muddled interior of the college game.  Zeller should be able to play either frontcourt position and may ultimately give the T'Wolves the flexibility to move Love or Pekovic for better wing help than this draft can offer them.

10.  Portland:  Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

A shooter who seems to be moving up draft boards.  He slots in nicely between Damian Lillard and Nicolas Batum.

11. Philadelphia:  Mason Plumlee, PF/C, Duke

Some mocks have him slipping as far as #20 to Chicago.  As a Bulls fan, I would love to see that happen but I just can't imagine that someone with Plumlee's size, strength, ability to run the floor, and experience will slip that far.  The Sixers need frontcourt help in a big way with the disaster of the Andrew Bynum deal and Thaddeus Young's inability to grow into a steady power forward.

12.  Oklahoma City:  C.J. McCollum, PG/SG, Lehigh

Sticking with this one from 1.0.  McCollum is an explosive scoring guard who can both back up Russell Westbrook and play alongside him.  Don't sleep on Steven Adams here, but I think McCollum will be too enticing to pass up.

13.  Dallas: Dario Saric, SF, Croatia

Word is Dallas is looking to move this pick to clear the books for a run at Chris Paul or Dwight Howard, but this is about where Saric should go:  a long 3 with legit point forward skills.

14.  Utah: Dennis Schroeder, PG, Germany

A pure PG who reminds many of Rajon Rondo is exactly what the doctor ordered for the Jazz.

15.  Milwaukee:  Shane Larkin, PG, Miami

Larkin has dazzled, athletically, in workouts and at the Chicago combine.  The Bucks have yet to extend Brandon Jennings, and Larkin could give them some flexibility to move him.  Don't sleep on Russian sharpshooting small forward Sergey Karasev here, either.

16.  Boston: Sergey Karasev, SG/SF, Russia

A sharpshooter with enough size and athleticism to play either the 2 or 3.  A surprising level of polish and experience for a 19 year-old.

17.  Atlanta:  Giannis Adetokuompo, SF, Greece

Perhaps the best upside of any player in the draft. The "Greek Freak" likely will not play in the NBA for 2-3 years, but he has incredible length and athleticism for a small forward and actually plays point guard for his Greek league club.  If you want to take a shot at finding another Scottie Pippen at the same age, this is your chance.

18.  Atlanta:  Shabazz Muhammad, SG/SF, UCLA

After coming into college with a ton of hype, now observers are fixated on the potential weaknesses in his game. But he's a polished scorer who is just too good a value for Atlanta to pass up here - complementing the boom-or-bust choice a pick earlier.

19.  Cleveland:  Steven Adams, C, Pitt

They would have loved Muhammad or Karasev here, but Adams isn't a bad consolation prize.  A good athlete with true center size, and a top-shelf motor and work ethic. His offensive game is a work in progress, but he has a chance to develop into a top defensive center.

20.  Chicago: Gorgui Dieng, PF/C, Louisville

Another one steady since Mock 1.0.  Ready to give the Bulls solid bench minutes right away, and this is what they need.  It would, however, be very interesting if Karasev or Muhammad were to slip.

21.  Utah:  Kelly Olynyk, PF/C, Gonzaga

Olynyk is a wildcard who could go anywhere from the late lottery to the mid-20's.  A big man with an unconventional but impressive skill set, he was an outstanding college player who would be a solid get along with Schroeder.

22.  Brooklyn:  Jamaal Franklin, SG, San Diego State

He led the Aztecs in PTS, REB, AST, STL, I think even HR and RBI....  a classic do-everything wing who could be a steal if he straightens out his jumper.  He would give the Nets the flexibility to play Joe Johnson at the 3 and Gerald Wallace at the 4.

23.  Indiana:  Rudy Gobert, C, France

The Pacers suddenly have dreams of contention, and would have probably loved to see  Larkin slip this far so they could upgrade from George Hill at the point, or Karasev so they could add some much-needed perimeter shooting.  But absent someone who could give immediate help, Gobert has size and length you can't teach - a Roy Hibbert in training wheels.  Tim Hardaway Jr. is a possibility here.

24.  New York:  Tony Mitchell, F, North Texas

There seems to be a small consensus building around this pick.  He brings top-end athleticism, defense, and rebounding a very high overall upside.  He's a boom-or-bust pick, but absent anyone who is sure to crack the Knicks' rotation, there is no reason not to swing for the fences here.

25.  L.A. Clippers:  Tim Hardaway Jr., SG, Michigan

The Clips need shooting, and Hardaway has earned high marks for his marksmanship, as well as his intensity and professionalism.  He has ideal size for the 2, but his defense and his game off the bounce are works in progress.  He's unlikely to be a star, but his floor is rising, which makes him a good bet to be a complementary contributor on a competitive team.

26.  Minnesota:  Glen Rice Jr., SG/SF, D-League

He has character issues in his past, but he dominated the D-League last season and brings the kind of athleticism and perimeter shooting the T'Wolves desperately need.

27. Denver: Lucas Nogeuira, C, Brazil

Unlikely to find a player who will crack their rotation right away, this is another team that can shoot for upside.  The team that drafted Nene can now try their hand with "Bebe", a rail-thin athletic freak who could be a Marcus Camby type of defensive dominator in time.

28.  San Antonio:  Allen Crabbe, SG, California

Projected by most to go a bit higher, so this is a solid value pick.  Since Manu Ginobili and Matt Bonner can't play forever, new shooting has to come from somewhere.

29.  Oklahoma City:  Mouhammadou Jaiteh, C, France

A young, physically impressive big man who won't be here for a little while yet.  The Thunder can wait. A McCollum/Jaiteh draft for a team that is already a championship contender seems almost unfair.

30. Phoenix:  Reggie Bullock, SG/SF, North Carolina

A high-floor, low-ceiling pick.  He's mostly just a shooter on offense, but he can guard two positions and should be a nice piece (and nice complement to Victor Oladipo).  Like Oladipo, he should be able to get on the floor early.